Episode 1425: Thursday - October 1, 2026

Brian Szytel hosts The Dividend Cafe from New York City on the first day of Q4, noting a benign market day (Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq flat) and a slightly steepening yield curve. He argues that higher long-term rates repricing toward nominal growth is natural, not inherently sinister, and says the first “cracks” to watch would be widening high-yield credit spreads, which remain very tight, suggesting no recession signal. He reviews economic data including initial jobless claims at 197, manufacturing PMI still expanding at 55.9, and construction spending up 0.9%, ahead of an expected 90,000 nonfarm payrolls report. Responding to an article on dividend growth, he endorses the quality of dividend growers but rejects the claim that a 3–4% yield with ~7% dividend growth is unavailable, warning that funding spending by selling shares or using option overlays on dividend portfolios can cause permanent impairment; he recommends building a dividend portfolio to meet expenses and cites David Bahnsen’s book, “Profit from the Profit."

00:00 Welcome and Market Snapshot

00:48 Rates Rising and Growth Outlook

02:06 Watching Credit Spreads

02:31 GDP Earnings and Productivity

03:56 Jobs Data and Economic Calendar

04:46 Dividend Growth Strategy Debate

06:10 Why Selling Shares Hurts

06:40 Options Overlays and Better Approach

07:20 Book Recommendation and Sign Off

07:41 Disclosures and Disclaimer

Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com

TheBahnsenGroup.com