Tech Sell-Off, Strong PMI Data, and Why the Dollar’s Reserve Status Isn’t Going Away Soon
Brian Szytel recaps a broad market sell-off led by technology and semiconductors, highlighting a nearly 10% drop in South Korea’s KOSPI—an index heavily concentrated in Samsung and SK Hynix—attributed to valuation, demand shifts, and DRAM supply issues after a major run-up. He notes similar 5–10% declines in high-flying semiconductor names and emphasizes that despite real AI-driven demand and a rare reversal of decades-long chip price declines due to supply-demand imbalance, valuations still matter. On the economic front, flash PMIs were strong: manufacturing surged to 55.7, the highest in a little over four years, and services also beat expectations, supporting an improving growth backdrop tied partly to data-center CapEx. He addresses concerns about the U.S. dollar losing reserve status, arguing no viable replacement exists, citing dollar dominance in FX (90%) and global reserves (57%) versus the euro (20%).
00:00 Summer Market Check-In
00:31 Global Tech Sell-Off
01:38 Semis Valuation Reality
02:01 AI Chip Demand Shift
02:48 PMI Data Highlights
03:43 Dollar Reserve Status Fears
04:32 What Could Replace Dollar
05:53 Reserve Currency Numbers
06:32 Wrap Up and Q&A
Links mentioned in this episode: DividendCafe.com
Brian Szytel is the Co-CIO and Senior Managing Director of The Bahnsen Group.
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